FORMLAB RACING
THE SCIENCE OF FORM  ·  RACE INTELLIGENCE REPORT
Nottingham · 17:50
Class 5 · 5.04f · Good to Firm (Good in places)
GENERATED 2026-07-21 · 4 RUNNERS PROFILED
THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 30.2%winner in the projected 1–2–3 64.1%192 races · latest settled day: #1 4/16, top-3 9/16forensic read: #1 27.7% · top-3 63% (119)full record →
The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW
No confirmed early pace on the book, so this one may turn tactical. Winners here typically raced recently (96% within 45 days) and were prominent in the betting (61% from the first three favourites); the typical winner also sits around 2nd at halfway before quickening late, having spent about 49% of its energy before the final two furlongs. On the measured reads, MONDAMMEJ leads on 78, 2pts clear of SQUEALER (IRE) and COME ON OVER (IRE) (both 76) — dropping in class. The case against the top pick: habitually slow from the stalls. The shape danger is COYY (IRE) — the strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it. The market sees it differently, making SQUEALER (IRE) the 43% favourite — a horse our figures rate 2nd.
MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE
The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3
1ST · DATA ORDER DRAW 4
MONDAMMEJ
OR 74 · Cam Hardie / Antony Brittain
MARKET backed 8.2 → 7.4 · the market rates it a 13% chance
78.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans for · 5+ / 1−8lb below his last winning mark (74 today vs 82)Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 5 todayDrops in class todayThe top rating in this field (78.0)
2ND · DATA ORDER DRAW 1
SQUEALER (IRE)
OR 73 · Rowan Scott / Nigel Tinkler
MARKET 2.32 · the market rates it a 43% chance
76.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 2−15lb below his last winning mark (73 today vs 88)Proven at this level — a Class 2 winner, racing in Class 5 todayDrops in class todayRated #2 in this field (76.0)
3RD · DATA ORDER DRAW 3
COME ON OVER (IRE)
OR 68 · Daniel Tudhope / David O'Meara
MARKET drifting 3.3 → 4.7 · the market rates it a 21% chance
76.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 2−Rated #3 in this field (76.0)Stable in form this week — 4 wins from 20 runs
The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY
1COYY (IRE)net +7race-fit (ran <=45d), market top-3, backed since morning, top-2 late speed today, top-2 speed vs its fields, energy in the winning band, yard positive in today’s setup, yard hot − habitually slow away
2MONDAMMEJnet +6figure top-2, drops in class, race-fit (ran <=45d), backed since morning, top-2 late speed today, top-2 speed vs its fields, energy in the winning band − habitually slow away
3SQUEALER (IRE)net +5figure top-2, drops in class, race-fit (ran <=45d), market top-3, energy in the winning band, FormLab watch flag − habitually slow away
EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD
THE CASE AGAINST THE TOP PICK
MONDAMMEJ carries habitually slow from the stalls. COYY (IRE) is the one to beat it — an edge MONDAMMEJ lacks: a yard that scores in today’s conditions.
Balance, not doubt for its own sake — every pick has a case against; a reader should see ours.
Worth A Second Look
These horses rank lower on raw ability figures — but today's race fits a pattern their stable has repeatedly won in. In plain terms, why each deserves another look before you dismiss it.
COYY (IRE)  FIGURE #4
Eve Johnson Houghton's runners in Class 4-5 company win 16.0% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons. Eve Johnson Houghton's runners kept to the same class win 17.9% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons.
Race ShapePACE × FINISH
even/unclear early shape (no confirmed early types). Descriptive context — the shape never selects.
WHAT WINS THIS RACE
23 similar races at NOTTINGHAM, 4.5-5.5f, all-aged handicaps, Class 4-6, Jun-Aug, 2023-2026 (class band widened for sample)
Winners here typically raced recently (96% within 45 days) and were prominent in the betting (61% from the first three favourites). 9% won last time out, 26% were placed 2nd-3rd.
Age
48% 6yo+
26% 4yo
17% 5yo
Last ran
61% 15-45d
35% within 14d
4% first run
Market
39% 4th+ in the market
35% 3rd favourite
13% 2nd favourite
LTO form
61% unplaced last time
26% placed last time
9% won last time
The shape of past winners here · context only, never picks the horse.
Where the pace is drawn · 4 runners · stalls 1–5
12345
Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner.
If the ground changes
Should it turn softer: MONDAMMEJ is 0/2 on softer ground · SQUEALER (IRE) is 0/1 on softer ground · COME ON OVER (IRE) is 0/5 on softer ground. Records only — going aptitude is context, never a downgrade (the market prices it).
RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup
MONDAMMEJ HELD-UP 49.3% 100.6 the 2nd-strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it
SQUEALER (IRE) HELD-UP 50.0% 99.9 the 3rd-strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — needs them to stop in front
COYY (IRE) HELD-UP 49.0% 100.6 the strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it
COME ON OVER (IRE) MID 50.5% 99.9 one-paced late — 4th of 4 on late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER
#1 MONDAMMEJ HELD-UP
DRAW 4 · OR 74 · Cam Hardie / Antony Brittain
MARKET backed 8.2 → 7.4 · the market rates it a 13% chance
Yard mixed — leans for · 5+ / 1−
78.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
Top on the figures, 2pts clear of the next, dropping in class; habitually slow from the stalls.
FormLab Figure
78.0 · ranked #1 here · career best 103
Official mark (OR)
74 · last won off 82
Record at today's distance
2 wins from 38 tries · below market expectation (0.62)
Days since last run
18
Sectional clock
Last time: ran to par for the class
Usually races midfield
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 100.57% (holds late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
6thClass 3 · 5.0f · rated 7814thClass 4 · 5.0f · rated 584thClass 4 · 5.0f · rated 752ndClass 4 · 5.0f · rated 8622ndClass 4 · 6.0f · rated 38
Career sheet · last 18 months · 13 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for MONDAMMEJbest 103needs 76–782025-01-23 · TFR 80 · 6f · Slow · C42025-02-02 · TFR 81 · 6f · Slow · C42025-02-20 · TFR 52 · 5f · Slow · C32025-03-01 · TFR 86 · 4.97f · Std · C42025-03-13 · TFR 76 · 6f · Slow · C42025-03-20 · TFR 78 · 5f · Slow · C22025-04-26 · TFR 75 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C22025-07-11 · TFR 62 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C42025-07-25 · TFR 38 · 6f · Good · C42025-10-27 · TFR 86 · 5f · Slow · C42025-11-01 · TFR 75 · 5f · Slow · C42026-05-31 · TFR 58 · 5f · Good · C42026-07-03 · TFR 78 · 5.01f · Gd/Frm · C323 Jan 253 Jul 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Antony Brittain · 608 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.3 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In fields of <=74/636.3%0.633/2114.3%1.4
Over 5-6f trips21/3296.4%0.8212/11010.9%1.23
Coming back after 15 to 45 days11/1616.8%0.977/848.3%1.21
Below their last winning mark3/417.3%1.013/2810.7%1.2
In Class 4-5 company11/1676.6%0.945/667.6%1.15
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
On turf0/1000.0%0.01/512.0%0.46
Too few runners to read reliably
At Nottingham (small sample)0/100.0%0.00/50.0%0.0
At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)3/853.5%0.810/100.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 103 at/around today's trip, clears the ~76.0 demand
The rider
Cam Hardie · last 14 days: 3/22 · at Nottingham: A/E 1.06 (n49) · with this yard: A/E 0.76 (n548)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields2nd of 4
+0.10 mph
About the level of its fields · 42.3 raw
Break · 0-20mph2nd of 4
+0.37s
Slow away in 3 of 6 — habitual, so the market already knows
Finish · closing speed2nd of 4
100.6%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length1st of 4
7.62 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
3 Jul 26Doncaster5fGd/Frm6thTrue41.9 +0.52103.4+0.23
31 May 26Thirsk5fGood14thTrue43.6 -0.25102.4+0.27
1 Nov 25Newcastle5fSlow4thSlow early41.9 +0.40101.8+0.58
27 Oct 25Newcastle5fSlow2ndTrue41.9 +0.00104.2+0.19
25 Jul 25York6fGood22ndTrue41.0 +0.0092.4+0.47
11 Jul 25York5fGd/Frm13thTrue43.4 -0.0499.2+0.50
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.29slow2f+0.17slow3f+0.11par4f+0.05par5f+0.34fast
Timed runs 2025-07-11 to 2026-07-03. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
SQUEALER (IRE) · 2 meetings≈ 0.2L ahead on today's terms · line-ball
16 May 24 · 5f · Good — finished 12th vs 8th, 1.2L behind
THIN [n=2 meeting(s), 1 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — line-ball vs 1 rival(s) met (+0.2L adj, 2 meeting(s))
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
8lb below his last winning mark (74 today vs 82)Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 5 todayDrops in class todayThe top rating in this field (78.0)Historically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“off pace, ridden over 2f out, never on terms”
#2 SQUEALER (IRE) HELD-UP FORMLAB WATCH
DRAW 1 · OR 73 · Rowan Scott / Nigel Tinkler
MARKET 2.32 · the market rates it a 43% chance
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 2−
76.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
2nd on the figures, 2pts off the top, flagged on our watch list; habitually slow from the stalls.
FormLab Figure
76.0 · ranked #2 here · career best 102
Official mark (OR)
73 · last won off 88
Record at today's distance
2 wins from 25 tries · below market expectation (0.78)
Days since last run
30
Sectional clock
Last time: ran to par for the class
Usually races held-up (one-paced)
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 99.88% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
8thClass 4 · 5.0f · rated 765thClass 3 · 5.0f · rated 6713thClass 2 · 5.0f · rated 599thClass 3 · 5.0f · rated 676thClass 3 · 5.0f · rated 82
Career sheet · last 18 months · 13 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for SQUEALER (IRE)best 102needs 76–782025-05-17 · TFR 85 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C42025-06-07 · TFR 93 · 5.01f · Gd/Frm · C32025-06-28 · TFR 98 · 5f · Good · C22025-07-18 · TFR 89 · 5.01f · Gd/Sft · C32025-08-20 · TFR 78 · 5.4f · Good · C22025-09-07 · TFR 79 · 5.4f · Gd/Frm · C22025-09-21 · TFR 76 · 4.97f · Std · C22025-10-10 · TFR 62 · 5f · Good · C32026-04-15 · TFR 82 · 5f · Gd/Sft · C32026-05-02 · TFR 67 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C32026-05-23 · TFR 59 · 5f · Good · C22026-06-06 · TFR 67 · 5.01f · Gd/Frm · C32026-06-21 · TFR 76 · 5.01f · Good · C417 May 2521 Jun 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Nigel Tinkler · 925 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 7.8 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In fields of <=719/11616.4%1.254/3411.8%1.17
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)24/3008.0%0.93/387.9%0.76
Below their last winning mark3/417.3%0.83/397.7%0.84
Too few runners to read reliably
At Nottingham (small sample)2/238.7%1.011/911.1%1.78
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 102 at/around today's trip, clears the ~76.0 demand
The rider
Rowan Scott · last 14 days: 4/15 · at Nottingham: A/E 1.4 (n31) · with this yard: A/E 0.84 (n369)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields3rd of 4
-0.01 mph
About the level of its fields · 42.1 raw
Break · 0-20mph4th of 4
+0.54s
Slow away in 5 of 6 — habitual, so the market already knows
Finish · closing speed3rd of 4
99.9%
One-paced late
Stride length2nd of 4
7.55 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
21 Jun 26Pontefract5fGood8thTrue41.5 -0.07100.2+0.42
6 Jun 26Doncaster5fGd/Frm5thTrue42.8 +0.01101.3+0.27
23 May 26York5fGood13thTrue42.5 +0.2698.5+0.36
2 May 26Thirsk5fGd/Frm9thTrue42.8 -0.14101.0+0.71
15 Apr 26Beverley5fGd/Sft6thTrue40.9 -0.22100.2+0.83
10 Oct 25York5fGood16thTrue42.0 +0.1098.0+0.63
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.40par2f+0.45par3f+0.43par4f+0.49par5f+0.55slow
Timed runs 2025-10-10 to 2026-06-21. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
MONDAMMEJ · 2 meetings≈ 0.2L behind on today's terms · line-ball
16 May 24 · 5f · Good — finished 8th vs 12th, 1.2L ahead
THIN [n=2 meeting(s), 1 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — line-ball vs 1 rival(s) met (-0.2L adj, 2 meeting(s))
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
15lb below his last winning mark (73 today vs 88)Proven at this level — a Class 2 winner, racing in Class 5 todayDrops in class todayRated #2 in this field (76.0)Improving fast — last run rated 76, 8pts above his recent average of 67.3Stable cold this week — 0 wins from 15 runsJockey goes well at this track (1.4x market expectation)Lost roughly 1.9 lengths at the start last timeCut 3lb after losing the start last time — but our checklist rejected that excuse: the cut more likely reflects declining formRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“dwelt, mid-division, weakened final 1f”
#3 COME ON OVER (IRE) MID
DRAW 3 · OR 68 · Daniel Tudhope / David O'Meara
MARKET drifting 3.3 → 4.7 · the market rates it a 21% chance
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 2−
76.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
3rd on the figures, 2pts off the top, in form; one-paced late — 4th of 4 on late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front.
FormLab Figure
76.0 · ranked #3 here · career best 77
Official mark (OR)
68 · last won off 64
Record at today's distance
1 win from 10 tries · below market expectation (0.64)
Days since last run
18
Sectional clock
Last time: beat the class par by 0.8s · faster than its field on the clock
Usually races prominent
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 99.86% (one-paced late)
Headgear
Visor · yard 14% with first-time gear (A/E 1.36)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
1stClass 6 · 6.0f · rated 762ndClass 6 · 6.0f · rated 774thClass 6 · 6.0f · rated 628thClass 5 · 6.0f · rated 4111thClass 5 · 5.0f · rated 47
Career sheet · last 18 months · 12 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for COME ON OVER (IRE)best 77needs 76–782025-05-31 · TFR 61 · 6.08f · Good · C22025-06-25 · TFR 67 · 5f · Soft · C52025-07-05 · TFR 50 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C52025-09-27 · TFR 73 · 6.96f · Good · C52025-10-17 · TFR 63 · 6.96f · Gd/Sft · C52025-10-28 · TFR 62 · 6.09f · Slow · C52026-04-22 · TFR 54 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C52026-05-04 · TFR 47 · 5f · Gd/Sft · C52026-05-28 · TFR 41 · 6f · Good · C52026-06-14 · TFR 62 · 6.01f · Good · C62026-06-26 · TFR 77 · 6.01f · Gd/Frm · C62026-07-03 · TFR 76 · 6.01f · Gd/Frm · C631 May 253 Jul 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
David O'Meara · 2021 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.8 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)90/65213.8%1.046/698.7%0.68
Coming back after 15 to 45 days107/79313.5%1.1118/2228.1%0.75
Too few runners to read reliably
At Nottingham (small sample)1/175.9%0.471/714.3%1.03
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 77 at/around today's trip, clears the ~76.0 demand
The rider
Daniel Tudhope · last 14 days: 6/44 · at Nottingham: A/E 0.6 (n38) · with this yard: A/E 0.95 (n826)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields4th of 4
-0.12 mph
About the level of its fields · 41.2 raw
Break · 0-20mph1st of 4
+0.06s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed4th of 4
99.9%
One-paced late
Stride length4th of 4
7.33 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
3 Jul 26Doncaster6fGd/Frm1stTrue41.1 +0.00103.0+0.01
26 Jun 26Doncaster6fGd/Frm2ndTrue41.6 +0.23100.2+0.08
14 Jun 26Doncaster6fGood4thTrue41.6 -0.11101.2+0.03
28 May 26Ripon6fGood8thTrue41.0 -0.0494.7—
4 May 26Beverley5fGd/Sft11thTrue39.5 -0.8498.9+0.20
22 Apr 26Catterick Bridge5fGd/Frm7thTrue42.2 +0.04101.2+0.00
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1fledpar2fledslow3fledslow4fledpar5fledfast6fledfast
Timed runs 2026-04-22 to 2026-07-03. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. · finishing speed for 2 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
Read through a common rival
vs COYY (IRE) (read through NAANA'S SHADOW, ALFA DUPLICATE, OVERBUDGET, AKABUSI) ≈ -1.3L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
4lb above his last winning mark (68 today vs 64)Yet to win at this level — a Class 6 winner, upped to Class 5 todayRated #3 in this field (76.0)Stable in form this week — 4 wins from 20 runsHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceSectional speed profile fits here — but his run-style (Mid) is rare among winners at this course & distance
LTO comment
“prominent, ridden over 1f out, kept on”
#4 COYY (IRE) HELD-UP
DRAW 5 · OR 71 · Charles Bishop / Eve Johnson Houghton
MARKET backed 5.4 → 4.4 · the market rates it a 23% chance
Yard suits today’s conditions · 4+ / 0−
74.3 FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
4th on the figures, 3.7pts off the top, a yard that scores in today’s conditions; habitually slow from the stalls.
FormLab Figure
74.3 · ranked #4 here · career best 79
Official mark (OR)
71 · last won off 69
Record at today's distance
1 win from 10 tries · below market expectation (0.95)
Days since last run
31
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade faster than par (+0.6s) · faster than its field on the clock
Usually races midfield-closer
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 100.64% (holds late)
Headgear
Tongue strap · yard 8% with first-time gear (A/E 0.98)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
4thClass 5 · 5.0f · rated 737thClass 2 · 5.0f · rated 713rdClass 4 · 5.0f · rated 791stClass 5 · 5.1f · rated 7711thClass 4 · 5.7f · rated 19
Career sheet · last 18 months · 10 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for COYY (IRE)best 79needs 76–782025-04-11 · TFR 71 · 5.15f · Good · C42025-04-26 · TFR 55 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C22025-05-19 · TFR 71 · 6.05f · Gd/Frm · C22025-09-18 · TFR 48 · 6.01f · Gd/Sft · C42025-10-08 · TFR 72 · 6f · Std · C42026-04-17 · TFR 19 · 5.73f · Good · C42026-05-04 · TFR 77 · 5.1f · Gd/Frm · C52026-05-23 · TFR 79 · 5f · Good · C42026-06-05 · TFR 71 · 5f · Good · C22026-06-20 · TFR 73 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C511 Apr 2520 Jun 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Eve Johnson Houghton · 1044 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.2 on the exchange
Signature angle: off a TFR-FALLING figure trend
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3) ✦38/36410.4%1.029/4420.5%1.38
On turf ✦64/57611.1%1.0626/17814.6%1.24
In Class 4-5 company ✦66/49713.3%1.1424/15016.0%1.17
In fields of <=7 ✦29/17916.2%1.0611/5320.8%1.16
Too few runners to read reliably
At Nottingham (small sample)1/128.3%0.943/560.0%2.57
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 79 at/around today's trip, clears the ~76.0 demand
The rider
Charles Bishop · last 14 days: 2/35 · at Nottingham: A/E 1.81 (n14) · with this yard: A/E 0.9 (n660)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields1st of 4
+0.17 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 42.1 raw
Break · 0-20mph3rd of 4
+0.45s
Slow away in 3 of 6 — habitual, so the market already knows
Finish · closing speed1st of 4
100.6%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length3rd of 4
7.51 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
20 Jun 26Newmarket5fGd/Frm4thSlow early43.3 +0.42104.9+0.17
5 Jun 26Epsom Downs5fGood7thFast early44.1 -0.47101.0+0.86
23 May 26Goodwood5fGood3rdSlow early43.2 +0.81102.8+0.72
4 May 26Windsor5fGd/Frm1stTrue41.1 -0.34100.1+0.25
17 Apr 26Bath5fGood11thTrue40.1 +0.1889.8+0.22
8 Oct 25Kempton Park6fStd8thTrue40.9 +0.41105.2+0.45
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.36very slow2f+0.38slow3f+0.30par4f+0.22fast5f+0.47fast
Timed runs 2025-10-08 to 2026-06-20. · finishing speed for 2 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. · 2 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
Read through a common rival
vs COME ON OVER (IRE) (read through NAANA'S SHADOW, ALFA DUPLICATE, OVERBUDGET, AKABUSI) ≈ +1.3L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 5 todayJockey goes well at this track (1.81x market expectation)Historically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“tracked pace, shaken up after halfway, ridden and headway 1f out, not quicken”