FORMLAB Race Report — Nottingham 15:15

FORMLAB RACING

THE SCIENCE OF FORM  ·  RACE INTELLIGENCE REPORT

Nottingham · 15:15

Class 4 · 6.08f · Good to Firm (Good in places)

GENERATED 2026-07-21 · 8 RUNNERS PROFILED

THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 30.2%winner in the projected 1–2–3 64.1%192 races · latest settled day: #1 4/16, top-3 9/16forensic read: #1 27.7% · top-3 63% (119)full record →

The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW

MIMIME (IRE) is the only confirmed early type — if it breaks level it should get the front to itself. Winners here spend about 50% of their energy before the final two furlongs and quicken late. On the measured reads, REMI MAE leads on 67, 0pts clear of TOO TOO DIVINE (IRE) — dropping in class. Little to argue against on the measured reads — the only question is the price. The shape danger is HANAAN (IRE) — the strongest late speed in this field, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it. The market sees it differently, making TOO TOO DIVINE (IRE) the 37% favourite — a horse our figures rate 2nd.

MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE

The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3

1ST · DATA ORDER DRAW 1

REMI MAE

OR  · Jason Watson / Andrew Balding

MARKET 4.2 · the market rates it a 24% chance

67.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD

Yard suits today’s conditions · 3+ / 0−Drops in class todayThe top rating in this field (67.0)Stable in form this week — 4 wins from 13 runs

2ND · DATA ORDER DRAW 4

TOO TOO DIVINE (IRE)

OR  · Tom Marquand / James Fanshawe

MARKET backed 3.05 → 2.72 · the market rates it a 37% chance

67.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD

Yard mixed — leans for · 3+ / 1−Rated #2 in this field (67.0)Stable in form this week — 3 wins from 11 runs

3RD · DATA ORDER DRAW 5

MARCH OF TIME (IRE)

OR  · Hector Crouch / Clive Cox

MARKET 5.4 · the market rates it a 18% chance

61.5 FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD

Yard mixed — leans for · 4+ / 1−Rated #3 in this field (61.5)Stable in form this week — 3 wins from 10 runsRace-fit — ran 10 days ago

The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY

1TOO TOO DIVINE (IRE)net +7figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, backed since morning, top-2 late speed today, yard hot

2REMI MAEnet +6figure top-2, drops in class, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, yard hot

3MARCH OF TIME (IRE)net +4race-fit (ran <=45d), market top-3, energy in the winning band, FormLab watch flag

EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD

THE CASE AGAINST THE TOP PICK

Little to argue against on the measured reads — the only question is the price. TOO TOO DIVINE (IRE) is the one to beat it — an edge REMI MAE lacks: backed since the morning.

Balance, not doubt for its own sake — every pick has a case against; a reader should see ours.

Worth A Second Look

These horses rank lower on raw ability figures — but today's race fits a pattern their stable has repeatedly won in. In plain terms, why each deserves another look before you dismiss it.

BABY G FIGURE #7

Tony Carroll's runners in Class 4-5 company win 13.9% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons. Tony Carroll's runners kept to the same class win 13.8% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons.

Race ShapePACE × FINISH

one confirmed early type — lone-lead possible. Descriptive context — the shape never selects.

Where the pace is drawn · 8 runners · stalls 1–8

12345678

Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner. The early pace is drawn HIGH (early types average stall 6.0 of 8, field average 4.5).

If the ground changes

Should it turn softer: REMI MAE is 0/1 on softer ground · TOO TOO DIVINE (IRE) is 0/1 on softer ground · MARCH OF TIME (IRE) is unraced on softer ground. Records only — going aptitude is context, never a downgrade (the market prices it).

RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup

BABY G HELD-UP 49.0% 101.4 solid late gains (6th of 8 on late speed here), races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it

CERCIS HELD-UP 50.5% 98.0 held up without the late gear (7th of 8 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front

HANAAN (IRE) MID 48.2% 105.5 the strongest late speed in this field, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it

HONKY TONK GIRL MID 50.2% 102.2 solid late gains (4th of 8 on late speed here), races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it

MARCH OF TIME (IRE) MID 48.9% 103.0 the 3rd-strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it

MIMIME (IRE) PROMINENT 51.3% 96.0 the only measured early speed in the race, and spends more than winners here do — but empties in the final 2f · slow from the stalls

REMI MAE MID 50.5% 101.6 solid late gains (5th of 8 on late speed here), yet works hard early for a closer — profits if the early types overdo it

TOO TOO DIVINE (IRE) MID 48.0% 104.8 a genuine turn of foot — 2nd-best late speed here, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it

The early fight · measured

Who actually gets the front: each confirmed early type’s speed over the opening 2f of its own recent races, compared with the horses it faced that day — plus how sharply it leaves the stalls.

MIMIME (IRE)PROMINENTmatches the early speed of the fields it has raced in · slow away (0.38s off the field’s best breaker)

MIMIME (IRE) is the only confirmed early type — if it breaks level it should get the front to itself · context only — the shape never selects.

The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER

#1 REMI MAE MID

DRAW 1 · OR  · Jason Watson / Andrew Balding

MARKET 4.2 · the market rates it a 24% chance

Yard suits today’s conditions · 3+ / 0−

67.0 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

Top on the figures, just ahead of the next, dropping in class; solid late gains (5th of 8 on late speed here), yet works hard early for a closer — profits if the early types overdo it.

FormLab Figure

67.0 · ranked #1 here · career best 71

Official mark (OR)

unrated · no win on record

Record at today's distance

0 wins from 5 tries

Days since last run

24

Sectional clock

No timed runs on record

Run style & finish

Midfield · finishing speed 101.63% (holds late)

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

3rdClass 3 · 7.6f · rated 6711thClass 2 · 6.0f · rated 393rdClass 4 · 6.1f · rated 632ndClass 2 · 6.0f · rated 717thClass 4 · 7.0f · rated 61

Career sheet · last 18 months · 5 rated runs · spacing is real time

Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Andrew Balding · 2428 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.0 on the exchange

Signature angle: kept to the same class, at Newcastle, jockey_named P. J. McDonald, off a steady mark, dropping in trip

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

Coming back after 15 to 45 days ✦199/104919.0%1.1270/28924.2%1.24

At this time of year (Q3) ✦134/74218.1%1.1115/6722.4%1.19

In Class 4-5 company ✦184/96219.1%1.0356/22524.9%1.17

Too few runners to read reliably

At Nottingham (small sample)4/2615.4%1.211/520.0%0.88

Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 77 at/around today's trip, clears the ~66.0 demand

The rider

Jason Watson · last 14 days: 5/26 · at Nottingham: A/E 0.76 (n33) · with this yard: A/E 1.07 (n301)

Sectional profile · last 5 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields4th of 8

-0.01 mph

About the level of its fields · 39.9 raw

Break · 0-20mph1st of 8

+0.14s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed5th of 8

101.6%

Holds its gallop to the line

Stride length4th of 8

7.30 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

27 Jun 26Chester7fGood3rdSlow early39.1 -0.08103.5+0.00

16 Jan 26Newcastle6fStd11thTrue40.7 -0.2995.4+0.06

3 Jan 26Southwell6fStd3rdTrue40.4 +0.12105.7-0.07

5 Sep 25Haydock Park6fGd/Frm2ndSlow early39.0 +0.24104.8+0.27

22 Aug 25Newmarket7fGd/Frm7thTrue40.3 -0.0598.6+0.42

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.25very slow2fledvery slow3f+0.13very slow4f+0.16slow5f+0.13par6f+0.34fast7f+0.72fast1m+0.99par

Timed runs 2025-08-22 to 2026-06-27. · 2 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

Drops in class todayThe top rating in this field (67.0)Improving fast — last run rated 67, 10pts above his recent average of 56.3Only 5 runs at this distanceStable in form this week — 4 wins from 13 runsRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price

LTO comment

“close up, pushed along soon after halfway, weakened 2f out”

#2 TOO TOO DIVINE (IRE) MID

DRAW 4 · OR  · Tom Marquand / James Fanshawe

MARKET backed 3.05 → 2.72 · the market rates it a 37% chance

Yard mixed — leans for · 3+ / 1−

67.0 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

Level at the head of the figures (2nd), backed since the morning; a genuine turn of foot — 2nd-best late speed here, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it.

FormLab Figure

67.0 · ranked #2 here · career best 67

Official mark (OR)

unrated · no win on record

Record at today's distance

0 wins from 3 tries

Days since last run

41

Sectional clock

No timed runs on record

Run style & finish

Midfield · finishing speed 104.79% (strong late)

Recent form · last 3 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

3rdClass 4 · 7.0f · rated 675thClass 4 · 7.0f · rated 664thClass 5 · 7.2f · rated 55

Career sheet · last 18 months · 3 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

James Fanshawe · 822 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.1 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

At this time of year (Q3)38/24615.4%0.977/2528.0%1.33

On turf33/28911.4%0.825/10224.5%1.29

In fields of 8-1141/31213.1%0.8822/11020.0%1.27

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

Over 5-6f trips ✦16/13811.6%0.866/5710.5%0.57

Too few runners to read reliably

At Nottingham (small sample)2/1811.1%0.913/650.0%3.77

Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 72 at/around today's trip, clears the ~66.0 demand

The rider

Tom Marquand · last 14 days: 1/41 · at Nottingham: A/E 0.62 (n33) · with this yard: A/E 1.22 (n12) · notable booking — a top rider for a yard he seldom rides for

Sectional profile · last 3 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields5th of 8

-0.18 mph

Slower than the fields it has met · 39.6 raw

Break · 0-20mph2nd of 8

+0.21s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed2nd of 8

104.8%

Sustains — still going at the line

Stride length6th of 8

7.19 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

10 Jun 26Yarmouth7fGd/Sft3rdSlow early39.3 +0.22105.7+0.38

30 Apr 26Yarmouth7fGd/Frm5thSlow early41.5 -0.02106.3+0.26

4 Nov 25Wolverhampton7fSlow4thSlow early38.0 -0.73102.4+0.00

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.79slow2f+0.76very slow3f+0.75very slow4f+0.58par5f+0.42fast6f+0.48fast7f+0.49very fast

Timed runs 2025-11-04 to 2026-06-10. · 3 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

Rated #2 in this field (67.0)Only 3 runs at this distanceStable in form this week — 3 wins from 11 runsBOOKING UPGRADE — 12m top-9 jockey booked, only 2 ride(s) for this yard in 12m, after non-elite riders on the horse: an intent read (context only,…Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina question

LTO comment

“dropped out, pushed along over 2f out, headway over 1f out, stayed on”

#3 MARCH OF TIME (IRE) MID FORMLAB WATCH

DRAW 5 · OR  · Hector Crouch / Clive Cox

MARKET 5.4 · the market rates it a 18% chance

Yard mixed — leans for · 4+ / 1−

61.5 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

3rd on the figures, 5.5pts off the top, flagged on our watch list; the 3rd-strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it.

FormLab Figure

61.5 · ranked #3 here · career best 67

Official mark (OR)

unrated · no win on record

Record at today's distance

0 wins from 2 tries

Days since last run

10

Sectional clock

No timed runs on record

Run style & finish

Midfield · finishing speed 102.95% (holds late)

Headgear

First-time hood · yard 20% with first-time gear (A/E 1.41)

Recent form · last 2 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

4thClass 4 · 7.0f · rated 563rdClass 4 · 6.1f · rated 67

Career sheet · last 18 months · 2 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Clive Cox · 804 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.7 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

At this time of year (Q3)38/25514.9%1.166/3517.1%1.54

Over 5-6f trips ✦59/39415.0%1.0222/12617.5%1.34

In Class 4-5 company57/36915.4%1.016/9317.2%1.25

On turf ✦67/45814.6%1.1420/13414.9%1.19

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

In fields of 8-1150/31016.1%1.229/7611.8%0.83

Too few runners to read reliably

At Nottingham (small sample)1/205.0%0.312/633.3%2.28

Coming back after 8 to 14 days (small sample)10/5020.0%1.171/156.7%0.41

Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 67 at/around today's trip, clears the ~66.0 demand

The rider

Hector Crouch · last 14 days: 3/23 · at Nottingham: A/E 1.22 (n46) · with this yard: A/E 1.26 (n54)

Sectional profile · last 2 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields1st of 8

+0.57 mph

Faster than the fields it has met · 39.9 raw · only 2 runs

Break · 0-20mph6th of 8

+0.37s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed3rd of 8

103.0%

Holds its gallop to the line

Stride length7th of 8

7.14 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

11 Jul 26Salisbury6fGd/Frm4thTrue38.5 +0.45100.7+0.53

1 Jun 26Windsor6fGd/Frm3rdTrue41.3 +0.70105.2+0.21

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.31very slow2f+0.24par3f+0.34par4f+0.32fast5f+0.50fast6f+0.74par7f+1.47slow

Timed runs 2026-06-01 to 2026-07-11. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

Rated #3 in this field (61.5)Only 2 runs at this distanceStable in form this week — 3 wins from 10 runsRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionRace-fit — ran 10 days ago

LTO comment

“close up, pushed along 2f out, hung left 1f out, one paced”

#4 HANAAN (IRE) MID

DRAW 2 · OR  · David Egan / S. P. C. Woods

MARKET drifting 12.5 → 15 · the market rates it a 7% chance

Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 3−

55.0 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

4th on the figures, 12pts off the top, one of the two strongest finishers here; the strongest late speed in this field, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it.

FormLab Figure

55.0 · ranked #4 here · career best 55

Official mark (OR)

unrated · no win on record

Record at today's distance

0 wins from 1 tries

Days since last run

62

Sectional clock

No timed runs on record

Run style & finish

Midfield · finishing speed 105.5% (strong late)

Headgear

First-time tongue strap

Recent form · last 1 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

9thClass 5 · 7.0f · rated 55

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

S. P. C. Woods · 488 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.9 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

At this time of year (Q3)14/1728.1%0.720/140.0%0.0

On turf ✦12/1647.3%0.793/397.7%0.55

In fields of 8-1122/19911.1%0.943/368.3%0.78

Too few runners to read reliably

At Nottingham (small sample)1/425.0%1.50/20.0%0.0

Over 5-6f trips (small sample)4/488.3%0.661/714.3%1.51

Coming back after 46 to 90 days (small sample)3/2910.3%1.171/911.1%0.89

Can it do what today needs? no figure on record — unproven

The rider

David Egan · last 14 days: 7/27 · at Nottingham: A/E 1.24 (n30) · with this yard: A/E 0.47 (n22)

Sectional profile · last 1 timed run · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields7th of 8

-0.57 mph

Slower than the fields it has met · 39.3 raw · only 1 run

Break · 0-20mph8th of 8

+0.47s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed1st of 8

105.5%

Sustains — still going at the line

Stride length5th of 8

7.28 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

20 May 26Kempton Park7fSlow9th—39.3 -0.57105.5+0.47

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.50 2f+0.55 3f+0.61 4f+0.41 5f+0.34 6f+0.56 7f+1.12

Timed runs 2026-05-20 to 2026-05-20. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

Only 1 run at this distanceRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits

LTO comment

“mid-field, weakened quickly over 1f out”

#5 HONKY TONK GIRL MID

DRAW 3 · OR  · Saffie Osborne / Oliver Cole

MARKET 9 · the market rates it a 11% chance

Yard mixed — leans for · 2+ / 1−

52.7 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

5th on the figures, 14.3pts off the top, runs the winning energy pattern for the track; solid late gains (4th of 8 on late speed here), races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it.

FormLab Figure

52.7 · ranked #5 here · career best 57

Official mark (OR)

unrated · no win on record

Record at today's distance

0 wins from 3 tries

Days since last run

7

Sectional clock

No timed runs on record

Run style & finish

Midfield · finishing speed 102.15% (holds late)

Recent form · last 3 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

4thClass 5 · 6.1f · rated 509thClass 5 · 7.1f · rated 515thClass 5 · 5.7f · rated 57

Career sheet · last 18 months · 3 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Oliver Cole · 147 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.5 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

At this time of year (Q3)1/303.3%0.283/1323.1%2.37

In fields of 8-113/378.1%0.656/4015.0%1.41

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

In Class 4-5 company ✦5/4211.9%0.875/588.6%0.76

Too few runners to read reliably

Coming back after within 7 days (small sample)—0/10.0%0.0

Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 57 is below the ~66.0 the race demands

The rider

Saffie Osborne · last 14 days: 4/39 · at Nottingham: A/E 1.18 (n36)

Sectional profile · last 3 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields6th of 8

-0.21 mph

Slower than the fields it has met · 38.6 raw

Break · 0-20mph3rd of 8

+0.22s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed4th of 8

102.2%

Holds its gallop to the line

Stride length8th of 8

7.03 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

14 Jul 26Wolverhampton6fStd4th—39.0 -0.30103.4+0.08—

5 Jul 26Southwell7fStd9thTrue38.2 -0.02101.2+0.07

13 Jun 26Bath5fGood5thTrue39.1 -0.30101.9+0.52

Timed runs 2026-06-13 to 2026-07-14. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

Only 3 runs at this distanceRace-fit — ran 7 days agoRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits

LTO comment

“off pace, pushed along home turn, headway final 1f, kept on, nearest finish”

#6 CERCIS HELD-UP

DRAW 7 · OR  · George Wood / Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque

MARKET 48 · the market rates it a 2% chance

Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 4−

39.0 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

6th on the figures, 28pts off the top, a double-figure price; its sectional profile is out of date.

FormLab Figure

39.0 · ranked #6 here · career best 39

Official mark (OR)

unrated · no win on record

Record at today's distance

0 wins from 1 tries

Days since last run

286

Sectional clock

No timed runs on record

Run style & finish

Held up · finishing speed 98.01% (one-paced late)

Headgear

First-time hood

Recent form · last 1 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

5thClass 5 · 5.0f · rated 39

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque · 86 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 7.0 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

In Class 4-5 company2/375.4%0.790/50.0%0.0

Over 5-6f trips3/2611.5%1.220/40.0%0.0

On turf2/375.4%0.790/120.0%0.0

In fields of 8-113/427.1%0.960/80.0%0.0

Too few runners to read reliably

At Nottingham (small sample)1/333.3%14.470/20.0%0.0

Coming back after 180 days+ (small sample)1/333.3%4.620/20.0%0.0

At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)0/240.0%0.00/30.0%0.0

Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 39 is below the ~66.0 the race demands

The rider

George Wood · last 14 days: 2/26 · at Nottingham: A/E 0.55 (n40) · with this yard: A/E 1.24 (n30)

Sectional profile · last 1 timed run · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields3rd of 8

+0.00 mph

About the level of its fields · 39.5 raw · only 1 run

Break · 0-20mph5th of 8

+0.36s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed7th of 8

98.0%

One-paced late

Stride length3rd of 8

7.33 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

8 Oct 25Nottingham5fSoft5thTrue39.5 +0.0098.0+0.36

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.19par2f+0.25slow3f+0.28slow4f+1.23very slow5f+2.10very slow

Timed runs 2025-10-08 to 2025-10-08 · last timed run 286 days ago — the profile is out of date. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

Only 1 run at this distanceRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionReturns from 286 days off

LTO comment

“went left strt, handy, pushed along approaching 2f out, hung left, no extra final 1f”

#7 BABY G HELD-UP

DRAW 8 · OR  · Marco Ghiani / Tony Carroll

MARKET drifting 100 → 190 · the market rates it a 0% chance

Yard suits today’s conditions · 2+ / 0−

34.0 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

7th on the figures, 33pts off the top, a yard that scores in today’s conditions; solid late gains (6th of 8 on late speed here), races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it.

FormLab Figure

34.0 · ranked #7 here · career best 34

Official mark (OR)

unrated · no win on record

Record at today's distance

0 wins from 2 tries

Days since last run

17

Sectional clock

No timed runs on record

Run style & finish

Held up · finishing speed 101.41% (holds late)

Recent form · last 2 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

5thClass 4 · 6.0f · rated 348thClass 4 · 5.1f · rated —

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Tony Carroll · 2389 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.4 on the exchange

Signature angle: at Bath, at this time of year (Q2), on turf, off a TFR-FALLING figure trend, with the mark MARK-FLAT, with a CLAIM-7 claimer up

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

On turf ✦97/70713.7%1.247/23320.2%1.42

Over 5-6f trips ✦95/63714.9%1.2247/27916.8%1.2

Too few runners to read reliably

At Nottingham (small sample)2/229.1%1.281/147.1%0.82

Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 25 is below the ~66.0 the race demands

The rider

Marco Ghiani · last 14 days: 6/37 · at Nottingham: A/E 0.83 (n45) · with this yard: A/E 1.18 (n86)

Sectional profile · last 2 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields8th of 8

-1.05 mph

Slower than the fields it has met · 40.9 raw · only 2 runs

Break · 0-20mph4th of 8

+0.32s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed6th of 8

101.4%

Holds its gallop to the line

Stride length1st of 8

7.38 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

4 Jul 26Leicester6fGd/Frm5th—40.9 +0.01102.2+0.10—

16 Jun 26Wolverhampton5fStd8thTrue39.5 -2.10100.6+0.53

Timed runs 2026-06-16 to 2026-07-04. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

Only 2 runs at this distanceStable in form this week — 3 wins from 15 runs

LTO comment

“mid-field, under pressure halfway, not quicken”

#8 MIMIME (IRE) PROMINENT

DRAW 6 · OR  · Ray Dawson / Michael Appleby

MARKET 130 · the market rates it a 1% chance

Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 2−

31.5 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

8th on the figures, 35.5pts off the top, fit and race-ready; a yard out of form.

FormLab Figure

31.5 · ranked #8 here · career best 45

Official mark (OR)

unrated · no win on record

Record at today's distance

0 wins from 2 tries

Days since last run

33

Sectional clock

No timed runs on record

Run style & finish

Prominent · finishing speed 96.05% (one-paced late)

Recent form · last 2 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

10thClass 4 · 6.1f · rated 187thClass 5 · 6.0f · rated 45

Career sheet · last 18 months · 2 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Michael Appleby · 1548 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.2 on the exchange

Signature angle: in fields of 8-11

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

In fields of 8-11 ✦77/68911.2%0.999/1575.7%0.5

At this time of year (Q3)45/32813.7%1.223/397.7%0.7

Too few runners to read reliably

At Nottingham (small sample)12/6817.6%1.862/1811.1%0.95

Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 45 is below the ~66.0 the race demands

The rider

Ray Dawson · last 14 days: 5/29 · at Nottingham: A/E 1.14 (n54) · with this yard: A/E 1.66 (n34)

Sectional profile · last 2 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields2nd of 8

+0.04 mph

About the level of its fields · 40.9 raw · only 2 runs

Break · 0-20mph7th of 8

+0.38s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed8th of 8

96.0%

One-paced late

Stride length2nd of 8

7.37 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

18 Jun 26Southwell6fStd10thTrue39.9 +0.3196.4+0.30

25 May 26Leicester6fFirm7thTrue41.8 -0.2295.7+0.45

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.14par2f+0.27par3f+0.46slow4f+0.64par5f+1.17very slow6f+3.05very slow

Timed runs 2026-05-25 to 2026-06-18. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

Only 2 runs at this distanceRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina question

LTO comment

“prominent, wandered over 1f out, weakened”